Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.095063 0.109975 0.126446 0.145987 0.168540 0.193757 0.224100
2025-12-14 0.069800 0.089308 0.113079 0.144175 0.183799 0.232632 0.297454
2025-12-21 0.057482 0.078886 0.106810 0.145909 0.199277 0.269650 0.369659
2025-12-28 0.050800 0.073819 0.105570 0.152560 0.220400 0.314924 0.456935
2026-01-04 0.045068 0.068818 0.103195 0.156577 0.237481 0.355717 0.542120
2026-01-11 0.040423 0.064526 0.100952 0.160002 0.253472 0.396027 0.630665
2026-01-18 0.036162 0.060112 0.097763 0.161245 0.265802 0.431599 0.715447
2026-01-25 0.031946 0.055138 0.092954 0.159080 0.272073 0.457830 0.787662
2026-02-01 0.027852 0.049794 0.086818 0.153806 0.272284 0.473749 0.843898
2026-02-08 0.025638 0.047381 0.085270 0.156061 0.285391 0.512413 0.943142
2026-02-15 0.023460 0.044742 0.082980 0.156636 0.295408 0.546463 1.037544
2026-02-22 0.021753 0.042750 0.081591 0.158614 0.308046 0.586265 1.146521
2026-03-01 0.019504 0.039500 0.077583 0.155335 0.310678 0.608338 1.225444
2026-03-08 0.017672 0.036853 0.074438 0.153381 0.315678 0.635495 1.317593
2026-03-15 0.016467 0.035320 0.073284 0.155225 0.328378 0.678886 1.447064
2026-03-22 0.015902 0.035045 0.074616 0.162299 0.352549 0.747757 1.636882
2026-03-29 0.015112 0.034188 0.074638 0.166572 0.371214 0.807095 1.812895
2026-04-05 0.014333 0.033260 0.074395 0.170215 0.388862 0.866005 1.994395
2026-04-12 0.013434 0.031955 0.073181 0.171538 0.401447 0.915125 2.159251
2026-04-19 0.012350 0.030092 0.070516 0.169235 0.405467 0.945521 2.284284
2026-04-26 0.011146 0.027803 0.066629 0.163625 0.401110 0.956313 2.364190
2026-05-03 0.010577 0.026993 0.066112 0.166023 0.416142 1.013723 2.562795
2026-05-10 0.009944 0.025950 0.064924 0.166636 0.426852 1.061892 2.743846